RV Shipments Surging in 2017 to Highest Level Ever Continued Growth Expected for 2018, a Record 9th Straight Year
The recreation vehicle (RV) industry’s shipments will reach 472,200 units in 2017, the highest annual total since the data has been collected, and a 9.6% increase from the number shipped last calendar year, announced Frank Hugelmeyer, President of the Recreation Vehicle Industry Association (RVIA).
According to a new forecast presented today by Hugelmeyer at RVIA’s Committee Week luncheon, RV shipments are expected to reach even greater heights in 2018, with wholesale production projected at 487,200 units.
Shipments totaled 120,866 in the first quarter of 2017, an increase of 11.7% from 2016. This represented the highest shipment rate of any quarter since 1981, with the monthly totals rising throughout the quarter for all types of RVs. The quarterly gains were widespread, with type B and C motorhomes up by more than 30% from the previous year, and conventional and fifth-wheel travel trailers up by 10%. Shipments of folding camping trailers and truck campers fell 10% from 2016.
“Our industry is in an era of unprecedented growth,” said Hugelmeyer. “We are poised to record an eighth consecutive year of shipment gains, mainly due to product innovations that appeal to retiring baby-boomers as well as younger buyers. The recession is in the rearview mirror. This is a new era for the RV industry.”
Obviously I am encouraged to see so much growth in the RV industry.
But is it a good thing?
I have come to realize the RV industry is in a death spiral.
The current business model is simply unsustainable and the professionals working in the industry either:
- Know what’s going on, are in denial, and remain hopeful the problems will simply fix themselves.
- Don’t want to know what’s going on and keep their heads firmly planted in the sand ignoring many very obvious signs.
- Are aware of the problem, know it won’t end well, but are simply choosing to ride the wave as long as they can.
Greg Gerber, having covered the industry since 2000, makes the following point about the death spiral:
Consumers are frustrated beyond words over product quality and customer service. Every single day I hear about another issue involving a new or experienced RVer. RV owners are seething over the finger-pointing response they receive when attempting to get problems addressed.
Well, our experience with Newmar has been great. Excellent customer service from the company and excellent customer service from our dealer. We are not frustrated beyond words over product quality and customer service. That said, there is obviously a gap in terms of the level of quality of a high-end BMW at $100,000 against a Newmar Dutch Star at nearly $500,000 (Canadian) against say a Prevost coach at nearly $3 million (Canadian). Overall, we are fine with the level of quality against the cost. We love our coach and we expect to get many years of enjoyment from operating our coach.
Perhaps a better context is the expectation a consumer brings into the discussion. The inevitable tradeoff between cost and quality. A cheaper RV is going to trade cost against quality. There really isn’t much choice.
Greg does make an excellent observation about the industry:
… two firms control about 72 percent of the entire RV market. With Thor’s acquisition of Jayco last Friday, that number is now up to 83 percent.
Concentration of the manufacturing to a limited number of firms is rarely good for consumers. Inevitably, an oligopoly or a de facto monopoly will seek to maximize profits usually at the expense of the consumer. Innovation, product quality, customer service all become secondary considerations when there is such a lack of competition.
I hope Newmar continues to remain a viable, independent company.
I came across this big rig map during one of my searches on Google. Pretty cool interactive map and should prove helpful when we are travelling stateside.
I was looking for a Class A only site in Canada similar to the ones like this one.
I haven’t found any. I’m beginning to think that they do not exist in our country.
It has been a couple of weeks since our house closed. The house is no longer our home. We are living downtown and loving it.
The biggest surprise for me? I do not miss the house.
Nobody needs to own a house to have a home.
The process of downsizing was humbling and emotionally draining.
… like many people in the “developed world,” I had so many possessions that I couldn’t remember where my stuff was, or in many cases even remember that I had it. My junk drawers were expanding. I had “spare” cables, obsolete electronics, redundant tools, more sets of dishes and silverware than I had places for people to sit, and boxes of mementos that “one day” I would get around to going through and sorting.
Our situation was like that. Too many things. Way too many things. And, now that they have been sold, donated and tossed, I don’t seem to care about them.
Why did we fill our lives with so much stuff? Probably because we did not fill our lives with experiences that matter more.
Our transition into retirement is teaching me about many things. And one of the important lessons has been about possessions.
As Jonathan puts it:
… having a lot of “stuff” we don’t see or use doesn’t make us more secure. It drains our finances, limits our options, distracts our attention, diminishes our energies and most importantly, it wastes our time.
Well, not quite as posed as this stock photo:
Similar result though. We are now officially downsized.
Wow. I do not ever want to go through that process again!
Over 38 years of marriage, we had gathered quite an impressive collection of stuff. Months of effort in terms of going through papers, books, furnishings, electronics and pretty much everything else that North American consumers tend to purchase for their homes.
At times, I was literally embarrassed by all of the stuff. At times, I felt liberated by shedding most of the stuff.
Moving from a 5,200 square foot home with almost 2,000 square feet of garages into a 1-bedroom condo — and ultimately into about 450 square feet in our coach — seemed impossible when we started. But we did it. Although with a bit of stuff being held in a storage unit.
Our house closed around noon today.
Still a bit longer before we head out on the road. But for now, we will hang out in a wonderful space in the downtown core.
From that to this:
If there was one area of our coach that was a constant source of frustration, it was our entertainment cabinet in the Newmar Dutch Star.
It was a mess. Once I added a few additional components, like a satellite receiver, Apple TV, a Logitech Harmony Hub and a couple of cooling fans, I had an equipment stack that was literally one piece of equipment heaped one on top of another stuffed into the cabinet.
Every time we hit a bump in the road, clang! Equipment jumped up and down.
Although the two cooling fans were relatively large, they could not keep up with the heat as the fans had no room to operate.
And why all of this trouble?
I’m not sure why Newmar made the cabinet so useless for audio visual equipment. The cable routing was inordinately complex, solely to allow the option of having two independent programming feeds to the two TV sets in the front of the coach. And yet, only one sound source for the AV receiver.
I finally got around to changing all of that this past weekend.
The first task was to empty the cabinet of all the equipment. That included the Winegard Satellite Antenna Controller, Sony Blu-Ray Player, Logitech Harmony Remote Hub, Bell Expressvu Satellite TV Receiver, two 1×4 HDMI splitters, an Apple TV, a Sony AV Receiver and two cooling fans.
What was left behind was a huge mess of cabling.
I simplified the wiring dramatically by opting for one HDMI source coming from the receiver and splitting that source to the two TV sets. Each TV set playing back the same content. All I needed to put back into the cabinet was one 1 input, 4 output HDMI splitter, not two.
There were 6 HDMI cables in the cabinet. All I needed were 2 — one to feed each TV set — and the other 4 were pushed back behind the wall. I can always pull them back if I ever need them (2 of them were to send output to the exterior TV set in the basement bay which we did not install on our coach).
The rest of the wiring was to feed the AV receiver. I replaced the Sony that came with the coach. In its place is a Pioneer slimline receiver. Not as powerful in terms of pure wattage but a better sounding unit with vastly better setup protocols for doing the on-screen programming to tune speakers and subwoofer.
I had replaced the stock subwoofer that came with the coach. It was stuck inside a kitchen cabinet and sounded awful. I picked up a small but mighty sub that fits nicely behind one of our recliners. Sounds awesome in the coach.
I had a friend build two nice shelves for the coach. I was able to place all of the equipment neatly in place with a vastly simplified cable plant.
The two cooling fans are now mounted on the outside of the cabinet grill. They pull the hot air out of the cabinet far more effectively than before. So much so that I will add a temperature probe as the fans no longer need to run continuously except, obviously, when heat conditions warrant the cooling.
All of the gear is velcro’d to the shelves so no more flying equipment when driving the coach.
And, everything is neat and tidy in the cabinet. The Pioneer receiver and Apple TV are both wired via ethernet to the back entertainment cabinet in the bedroom which is where I have a router and a NAS installed.
Very pleased with how it all turned out.
This, apparently, is what downsizing looks like. An older couple with a few boxes and a plant. I found the photo online here.
Downsizing is an incredible amount of work. I fully appreciate why some people decide not to move. It really is a lot of effort.
Our house is empty now, for the most part. Still a fair amount of stuff to work through yet before we close the doors for the last time at the end of June.
I have found that downsizing can be a very stressful and emotional exercise.
The toughest room for me to deal with was my recording studio.
Last week it looked like this:
Waiting for the new owner to come and pick it up. Like most of the other stuff in our house.
I’ve told Lorraine that I am very excited about what happens next. And I am trying to manage my emotions as we go through the process of getting ready to go out on the road and experience new adventures.
The time between now and then? Well, let’s just say that I will be happy when it is all behind us.
Maybe like the couple in the photo above. That part of the job looks finished for them.
Our house sold on my 60th birthday in March of this year. I was having lunch with my sister, her partner and Lorraine in Arizona. I told them the news and I said that Lorraine and I were now homeless.
My sister’s partner corrected me. “You are now home free!”.
We approached our real estate agent in September of 2015 about selling our home. At the time I thought that it would take a couple of years for us to sell the house. We lived in the country, the house was expensive for the area and it would have a much smaller pool of interested buyers.
We went ahead and put in our order for the new coach in October of 2015. I thought it would be wise to have the coach for at least a year or two before we went out on the road. There is a fair amount to learn about the RV lifestyle and the coach itself. Looking back, I’m really pleased we got it then.
We listed the house in March of 2016 and we took delivery of the coach in June of 2016.
And we waited for a buyer.
Lots of showings during the first year. Not one offer.
We relisted the house in March of 2017. Reduced our price by 5 percent. Two offers within a few days. The second offer came in firm with no conditions which forced the first buyer to clear conditions if they wanted the deal. They wanted the deal. Close date of July 7.
We are in the process of downsizing and it is certainly a big task. We will move into a condo in a beautiful heritage home in the heart of the downtown. For a year. And then we will be off in our coach. Full time for the first year, perhaps longer.
I was out mowing the property last night. And it is a beautiful spot. The house and the property served us well. I will miss it. More than the other houses that we have lived in over the years.
Very mixed emotions as we go through this part of the transition into retirement.
Space. Room to spare.
Unfortunately, many of the sites we have visited with our coach have very little space. Sites are small and tightly packed.
We first learned about checking for clearance when we visited the 1,000 Islands/Ivy Lea KOA in Ontario, Canada. It was our first trip out with the coach. We made a point of telling the KOA folks that we had a 40-foot coach and we would need a site where we could fit. “No problem”, they told us, “we have big rigs in here all the time.”
Looking at the site below, everything looks great. Getting to the site was a real adventure. Everything was very tight for space. And once we got in to this site? Well, what you do not see clearly from the angle of the photograph are the branches of the evergreen tree on the driver’s side resting directly on the roof of the coach.
Lorraine was very focused on the lower clearance of the coach when she guided me into the site that she did not look up. The coach lifted the branches over the top of the roofline and once the airbags had deflated, the branches remained propped up by the roof itself. Fortunately the branches did not damage the coach.
The only way we were able to exit that site was to have the KOA staff come and cut several branches from the tree.
Lesson learned. Or so we thought.
Milton Heights is an old park with narrow roads and very narrow sites. For our stay, things were quiet and the surroundings pleasant.
Our entry into our site did not go as smoothly as planned.
Lorraine guided me into the narrow site. It was paved and, quite rightly, she wanted to ensure that the coach was positioned more or less centred on the narrow strip of pavement.
Unfortunately, the post for the water and electric service was tight to the narrow strip of pavement. Less than two feet. I hadn’t put the slides out as I had recently changed my routine when setting up at a site. Park, leave coach at ride height, turn engine off, exit coach, connect services, re-enter coach, slides out then jacks down. Thank heavens I followed that protocol.
I went to connect the services and, sure enough, there was no way that we would be able to put our full wall slide out without hitting the water and electric service pedestal.
Not enough space.
If I had followed our old protocol, we would have experienced damage to our full wall slide.
So, back into the coach. We repositioned the coach as far right on the paved strip as possible.
Just enough room to get the slides out.
A good reminder for us to really think about the space requirements for our coach. Many of the sites we visit were designed for a different class of motorhome. What I have learned is that if a campground looks tight, it is tight and it is best to walk out to the site first and check all clearances including clearances for the slides before making our way.